Experienced Cryptocurrency Analyst Maps Out Timeline for Bitcoin Price Recovery to Begin
Key Points
Willy Woo believes that the revival of Bitcoin hinges on the departure of underperforming miners from the network.
He points to previous instances of hash rate recoveries, such as 24 days in 2017 and 8 days in 2020, compared to the current ongoing recovery of over 61 days.
The post-halving recovery of Bitcoin has been sluggish due to market conditions and changes in investor behavior.
Over the last 24 hours, Bitcoin saw a 1.5% drop in price, falling to $64,590. Since its peak in March 2024 at $73,084, Bitcoin has lost over 12% of its value and is struggling to maintain the $65,000 support level. Many are now questioning when it will reach its all-time high again.
Meanwhile, Willy Woo, a prominent figure in the cryptocurrency community, has shed light on the factors influencing Bitcoin’s potential comeback.
Exit of Inefficient Miners
Willy Woo suggests that the timing of Bitcoin’s recovery is closely tied to the departure of inefficient miners from the network. These miners, utilizing outdated equipment and facing high operational costs, are either shutting down or upgrading their hardware to stay competitive in the mining sector.
When Bitcoin sheds its weak links, it typically involves miners with outdated hardware and high operational costs going out of business. Some are forced to upgrade to more efficient equipment. Why? Because their earnings were halved while costs remained constant. Both scenarios result in…
— Willy Woo (@woonomic)
June 21, 2024
Consequently, these miners are compelled to sell their Bitcoin holdings to cover losses or fund hardware upgrades, exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
The removal of inefficient miners is vital for the long-term health and stability of Bitcoin. By eliminating inefficient participants from the network, Bitcoin becomes more resilient and robust, paving the way for a potential price recovery.
Delay in Bitcoin Price Surge
By delving into historical data, Willy Woo offers insights into the potential timing and scale of Bitcoin’s next price surge. In 2017, Bitcoin witnessed a hash rate recovery within 24 days, coinciding with the traditional summer slowdown for individual investors on Wall Street. Similarly, in 2020, the hash rate bounced back within 8 days following market turmoil caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, following the most recent halving, it has been over 61 days, and miners have yet to recover. Woo attributes this delay to various factors, including market conditions and the activities of major investors.