QCP Capital Predicts Bitcoin Price to Reach Record High by the End of March
A Perfect Storm? Bitcoin’s rally is occurring amidst a backdrop of impressive inflows into BTC spot ETFs, with daily inflows of $500-650 million. Liquidity is flowing into spot ETFs, and if this trend continues, Bitcoin could easily surpass its historical highs by next month.
According to QCP Capital, Bitcoin’s price could surge to new all-time highs by the end of March. This prediction is driven by significant inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and optimistic derivative calls.
There are several key factors supporting these forecasts. The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs has attracted billions of dollars, with daily inflows reaching unprecedented levels. On Wednesday, the cryptocurrency market reached $2 trillion, its highest since April 2022. Bitcoin alone has gained nearly 3% in the last 24 hours.
For example, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF attracted around $500 million in a single day earlier this week. QCP Capital reports that these ETFs are acquiring an average of 10,000 to 13,000 BTC daily, indicating strong institutional interest in Bitcoin.
There has also been a surge in the purchase of BTC call options, with premiums for options with strike prices ranging from $60,000 to $80,000. This indicates a bullish sentiment among investors, with nearly $10 million spent on call options expiring between April and December.
Interestingly, major institutions like Fidelity have signaled a significant shift by allocating some of their conservative ETFs to cryptocurrencies. This mainstream acceptance of the crypto asset class is further demonstrated by Bitcoin ETFs beginning to compete with traditional assets like gold.
The resurgence in the US equity markets has also supported the crypto market rally. Despite facing selling pressure earlier due to unsatisfactory CPI data, Wall Street indices rebounded, with major tech giants leading the upward momentum. This positive momentum in the equity markets has spilled over into the crypto market, with Bitcoin extending its gains and trading at $52,431 at the time of writing.
However, there has been a significant shift in market sentiment. There is now a 91.5% probability of a rate pause next month, compared to expectations for a rate cut just one month ago. Looking ahead to May, traders foresee a 34% chance of a rate cut and a notable 63.3% likelihood of another rate pause, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
These factors contribute to a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, with QCP Capital anticipating new all-time highs by the end of March. This reflects growing investor confidence and positive sentiment in both crypto and traditional markets.